9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 9.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) …
As of 2026年11月3日, the market prices "Yes" at 4% implied probability (-0.4pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $335.0K in total ($43 in the last 24h) with $30.0K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 2027年2月1日.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.