First snow of the 2026 season
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records any snowfall, including trace, between market creation and the listed deadline, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The observation day is each station's National Weather Service climate day (midnight to midnight local ti…
As of 2026年11月3日, "Detroit, MI by November 15" leads at 22% implied probability (-1.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Buffalo, NY by November 30", from 58% to 67%. The event has traded $57.8K in total ($991 in the last 24h) with $11.9K of liquidity across 31 markets. Trading is due to close on 2026年12月4日.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
31 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.