How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is availab…
As of 2026年11月3日, "Below 5.10%" leads at 47% implied probability (+3.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Below 5.05%", from 40% to 37%. The event has traded $266.7K in total ($3.7K in the last 24h) with $27.4K of liquidity across 10 markets. Trading is due to close on 2026年12月31日.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
10 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.