How low will Lake Powell drop?
This market resolves based on the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Powell (Glen Canyon Dam) between market creation and March 31, 2027, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation. See each individual market for its bracket and full resolution terms. Because a lower reading can occur at any point up to March…
As of 2026年11月3日, "Above 3,510 ft" leads at 95% implied probability (-0.4pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $93.8K in total ($187 in the last 24h) with $9.9K of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 2027年4月16日.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
4 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.