Iran leadership change by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he i…
As of 2026年11月3日, "December 31" leads at 13% implied probability (-2.0pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $28.7M in total ($207.4K in the last 24h) with $242.0K of liquidity across 14 markets. Trading is due to close on 2027年7月1日.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
14 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.