Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Ira…
As of 2026年11月3日, "December 31" leads at 36% implied probability (+0.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "December 15", from 47% to 37%. The event has traded $43.8M in total ($768.3K in the last 24h) with $596.1K of liquidity across 42 markets. Trading is due to close on 2026年12月31日.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
42 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.