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Techcloses in 7mo

Kimi K3.1 Pro: Text Arena Debut?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Moonshot AI Kimi K3.1 Pro model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, th…

As of 2026年11月3日, "1470+" leads at 41% implied probability (-1.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "1490+", from 82% to 91%. The event has traded $116.1K in total ($12.1K in the last 24h) with $9.1K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 2027年7月1日.

24h volume
$12.1K
Total volume
$116.1K
Liquidity
$9.1K
Markets
5
2027年7月1日
AIKimiTechDebutMoonshotAI Releases

Chart, demo trading & order book

Market1470+
Yes40.5¢
24h Chg-1.5pp
Mkt Vol$49.0K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

5 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.