Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the lowest daily mean lake elevation, in feet above the National Geodetic Vertical Datum of 1929, recorded at the Great Salt Lake at Saltair Boat Harbor, UT gage (USGS site 10010000) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, as published by the United States Geological Survey (USGS)…
As of 2026年11月3日, "Below 4,189.3 ft" leads at 8% implied probability (-0.1pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $57.3K in total ($271 in the last 24h) with $25.7K of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 2027年1月2日.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
4 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.