November 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for November 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure…
As of 2026年11月3日, "1.40–1.44ºC" leads at 18% implied probability (-25.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "<1.35ºC", from 29% to 4%. The event has traded $5.9K in total ($594 in the last 24h) with $4.7K of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 2027年1月2日.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.