October 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2026 versus the data points available for all other Octobers on record. Note: If October 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary reso…
As of 2026年11月3日, "1st hottest" leads at 97% implied probability. The event has traded $31.9K in total ($69 in the last 24h) with $6.5K of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 2026年11月29日.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
4 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.