As of 2026年11月3日, "↓ 45,000" leads at 4% implied probability (-0.1pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "↓ 65,000", from 74% to 72%. The event has traded $81.1M in total ($157.0K in the last 24h) with $4.3M of liquidity across 47 markets. Trading is due to close on 2027年1月1日.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
47 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.