As of 2026年11月3日, "↑ 80,000" leads at 74% implied probability (-5.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "↓ 75,000", from 33% to 26%. The event has traded $2.2M in total ($498.1K in the last 24h) with $1.2M of liquidity across 20 markets. Trading is due to close on 2026年12月1日.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
20 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.