As of 2026年11月3日, "↑ 2.00" leads at 4% implied probability (+1.4pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "↑ 1.60", from 88% to 83%. The event has traded $111.9K in total ($38.5K in the last 24h) with $360.4K of liquidity across 15 markets. Trading is due to close on 2026年12月1日.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
15 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.