When will the next Atlantic or Pacific hurricane form?
This market will resolve according to the date on which the next hurricane forms in the Atlantic, Eastern North Pacific, or Central North Pacific basin, as classified by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) or the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC). Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". If no qu…
As of 2026年11月3日, "No hurricane by November 30" leads at 50% implied probability. The event has traded $1.1K in total ($1.1K in the last 24h) with $3.5K of liquidity across 7 markets. Trading is due to close on 2026年12月1日.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
7 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.