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Politicscloses in 11h

Which party will win the House in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election. A party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats…

As of 2026年11月3日, "Democratic Party" leads at 95% implied probability. The event has traded $44.7M in total ($6.3M in the last 24h) with $11.2M of liquidity across 9 markets. Trading is due to close on 2026年11月4日.

24h volume
$6.3M
Total volume
$44.7M
Liquidity
$11.2M
Markets
9
2026年11月4日
Parent For DerivativeUnited StatesUS ElectionPoliticsMidtermsWorld ElectionsElectionsGlobal ElectionsEarn 3.25%Main ElectionControl & Seats

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketDemocratic Party
Yes94.5¢
24h Chg+0.0pp
Mkt Vol$26.0M
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

9 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Which party will win the House in 2026? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker