Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election. A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the…
As of 2026年11月3日, "Democratic Party" leads at 77% implied probability (+3.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Republican Party", from 28% to 24%. The event has traded $19.4M in total ($3.1M in the last 24h) with $1.6M of liquidity across 9 markets. Trading is due to close on 2026年11月4日.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
9 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.