Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact …
As of 2026年11月3日, "None" leads at 31% implied probability (-1.0pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $64.7M in total ($30.0M in the last 24h) with $53.5M of liquidity across 128 markets. Trading is due to close on 2026年11月3日.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
128 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.