Berlin 2026 Election: How Large Will the Abgeordnetenhaus Be?
Elections to the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin (Berlin House of Representatives) are scheduled to be held on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election, including any overhang seats (Überhangmandate) and compensatory s…
As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "163+" leads at 55% implied probability (+0.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "143–147", from 97% to 91%. The event has traded $16.5K in total ($2.4K in the last 24h) with $17.1K of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 20 de setembro de 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.