Berlin State Election: AfD Vote Share?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, the…
As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "20%+" leads at 12% implied probability (+6.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "17-20%", from 65% to 60%. The event has traded $26.0K in total ($812 in the last 24h) with $27.9K of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 20 de setembro de 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
4 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.