Gemini 4.0 released by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signup…
As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "September 30" leads at 4% implied probability (-1.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "October 31", from 81% to 79%. The event has traded $561.8K in total ($5.4K in the last 24h) with $49.2K of liquidity across 7 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 de dezembro de 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
7 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.