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Economycloses in 3mo

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once da…

As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "5.2%" leads at 43% implied probability (-1.6pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $532.9K in total ($5.5K in the last 24h) with $49.4K of liquidity across 11 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 de dezembro de 2026.

24h volume
$5.5K
Total volume
$532.9K
Liquidity
$49.4K
Markets
11
31 de dez. de 2026
EconomyJerome PowellFed RatesTreasuriesFinanceUS Inflation AugustRecurring

Chart, demo trading & order book

Market5.2%
Yes43.1¢
24h Chg-1.6pp
Mkt Vol$104.8K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

11 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.