How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is availabl…
As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "Below 4.52%" leads at 21% implied probability. The biggest 24h move is "Below 4.49%", from 85% to 88%. The event has traded $16.5K in total ($436 in the last 24h) with $11.6K of liquidity across 9 markets. Trading is due to close on 30 de setembro de 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
9 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.