Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Ira…
As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "September 30" leads at 96% implied probability (+5.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "December 31", from 64% to 69%. The event has traded $31.1M in total ($162.8K in the last 24h) with $339.6K of liquidity across 24 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 de dezembro de 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
24 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.