Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will…
As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "↑10k" leads at 8% implied probability (+0.2pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "↑4.75k", from 16% to 19%. The event has traded $8.0M in total ($189 in the last 24h) with $17.9K of liquidity across 13 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 de janeiro de 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
13 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.