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Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to “Over” if CDU wins at least 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election. This market will resolve to “Under” if CDU wins less than 5% of all va…

As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "Under" leads at 100% implied probability (+83.2pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Over/Under", from 84% to 0%. The event has traded $134.5K in total ($76.8K in the last 24h) with $50.1K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 20 de setembro de 2026.

24h volume
$76.8K
Total volume
$134.5K
Liquidity
$50.1K
Markets
1
20 de set. de 2026
WorldGermanyPoliticsElectionsWorld ElectionsGerman ElectionsGlobal ElectionsMecklenburg-Vorpommern

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketOver/Under
Over0.3¢
24h Chg-83.2pp
Mkt Vol$134.5K
live
Order bookOver
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker