Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percent…
As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "AfD 2-5%" leads at 28% implied probability (-12.0pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $3.0K in total ($641 in the last 24h) with $45.4K of liquidity across 9 markets. Trading is due to close on 20 de setembro de 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
9 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.