Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon." This market will resolve to "Yes" i…
As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "October 31" leads at 63% implied probability (-5.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $47.5K in total ($4.8K in the last 24h) with $17.2K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 30 de novembro de 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
3 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.