NATO x Russia military clash by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of a NATO country and Russia between September 23 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile …
As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "December 31" leads at 28% implied probability. The event has traded $7.1M in total ($99.3K in the last 24h) with $285.8K of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 de janeiro de 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.