Next Claude Opus released on...?
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public. Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released aft…
As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "September 21" leads at 86% implied probability (+58.9pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "September 22", from 72% to 93%. The event has traded $80.2K in total ($48.5K in the last 24h) with $35.1K of liquidity across 16 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 de outubro de 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
16 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.