September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2026 versus the data points available for all other Septembers on record. Note: If September 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The prima…
As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "1st hottest" leads at 2% implied probability (-4.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "2nd hottest", from 95% to 97%. The event has traded $4.2K in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $3.4K of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 de outubro de 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
4 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.