Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both Denmark and the United States sign a deal, treaty, or similar international agreement of any kind relating to Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of s…
As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "December 31" leads at 98% implied probability (+2.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "September 23", from 74% to 88%. The event has traded $678.5K in total ($172.0K in the last 24h) with $143.1K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 de janeiro de 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
3 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.