US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
This market will resolve to “No” if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United Sta…
As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "September 30" leads at 87% implied probability (+11.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "September 25", from 16% to 6%. The event has traded $1.7M in total ($510.6K in the last 24h) with $473.6K of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 de outubro de 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.