Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be …
As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "$500M" leads at 88% implied probability (+2.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "$2B", from 72% to 74%. The event has traded $2.6M in total ($39.8K in the last 24h) with $318.6K of liquidity across 10 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 de janeiro de 2028.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
10 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.