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Sciencecloses in 6mo

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

This market resolves based on the total number of West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases (encephalitis, meningitis, and acute flaccid paralysis) reported among New York City residents in 2026, as published by the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene on its West Nile Virus Reports page at nyc.gov/site/do…

As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "20 to 34" leads at 6% implied probability (-36.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "50 or more", from 83% to 57%. The event has traded $17.4K in total ($563 in the last 24h) with $3.5K of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 de março de 2027.

24h volume
$563
Total volume
$17.4K
Liquidity
$3.5K
Markets
4
31 de mar. de 2027
ScienceWeatherOutbreakPandemicsNew York CityClimate & Science

Chart, demo trading & order book

Market20 to 34
Yes5.5¢
24h Chg-36.0pp
Mkt Vol$8.6K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

4 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.