As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "↓ 45,000" leads at 4% implied probability (-0.2pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "↑ 90,000", from 57% to 80%. The event has traded $68.6M in total ($781.7K in the last 24h) with $2.9M of liquidity across 47 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 de janeiro de 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
47 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.