What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, …
As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "Fay" leads at 14% implied probability (+4.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Isaias", from 3% to 7%. The event has traded $38.0K in total ($8.4K in the last 24h) with $16.2K of liquidity across 20 markets. Trading is due to close on 2 de dezembro de 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
20 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.