As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "by December 31, 2026" leads at 1% implied probability (-0.3pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "by June 30, 2027", from 14% to 24%. The event has traded $27.3M in total ($14.0K in the last 24h) with $106.6K of liquidity across 9 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 de janeiro de 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
9 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.