Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where…
As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "Russian Ecological Party “The Greens”" leads at 0% implied probability (-7.8pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Yabloko", from 88% to 99%. The event has traded $201.6K in total ($137.0K in the last 24h) with $91.6K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 20 de setembro de 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
5 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.