Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?
This event tracks whether each listed U.S. regional grid operator declares a NERC Energy Emergency Alert at Level 2 (EEA-2) or Level 3 (EEA-3) from this event's creation through that market's deadline of 11:59 PM local time on September 30, 2026. Each regional market resolves independently to "Yes" or "No" under its ow…
As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "New York (NYISO)" leads at 1% implied probability (-0.2pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "California (CAISO)", from 5% to 2%. The event has traded $39.9K in total ($184 in the last 24h) with $9.5K of liquidity across 7 markets. Trading is due to close on 2 de outubro de 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
7 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.