Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, publ…
As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "September 27" leads at 86% implied probability. The biggest 24h move is "September 24", from 84% to 82%. The event has traded $47.4K in total ($309 in the last 24h) with $6.9K of liquidity across 28 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 de outubro de 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
28 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.