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Politicscloses in 3mo

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United S…

As of 21 de setembro de 2026, "December 31" leads at 100% implied probability (+2.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "September 23", from 94% to 99%. The event has traded $2.5M in total ($562.4K in the last 24h) with $401.9K of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 de dezembro de 2026.

24h volume
$562.4K
Total volume
$2.5M
Liquidity
$401.9K
Markets
6
31 de dez. de 2026
ChinaTrumpGeopoliticsPolitics

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketDecember 31
Yes99.8¢
24h Chg+2.0pp
Mkt Vol$1.0M
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

6 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker