All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if four or more distinct tropical cyclones are assigned Category 5 intensity while located in the Pacific Ocean north of the equator and east of the International Date Line between January 1, 2026 and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The reco…
As of 27 de octubre de 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 12% implied probability. The event has traded $3.1K in total ($51 in the last 24h) with $547 of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 de diciembre de 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.