Polymarket tracker — live market probabilities
Sportsmarket of the day
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
100%Harry Kane
Harry Kane
100%
Gavi
0%
Kylian Mbappé
0%
$34.0M · 24hOpen market →
Active events
7,517
145,969 markets
24h volume
$79.8M
$676.2M liquidity
Top gainer · 24h
+92.0pp
Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
Top loser · 24h
-92.0pp
Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
Trending now
See all →Politics⏱ 1d
Fed Decision in October?
No change
92%
25 bps increase
8%
50+ bps increase
0%
$8.7M · 24h5 mkts
Politics⏱ 17h
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot
59%
Benjamin Netanyahu
28%
Naftali Bennett
8%
$3.4M · 24h28 mkts
Politics⏱ 17h
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
Yashar
71%
Likud
30%
Together
0%
$1.5M · 24h39 mkts
Politics⏱ 7d
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep
66%
R Senate, D House
27%
Republicans Sweep
8%
$1.3M · 24h5 mkts
Politics⏱ 2mo
France declares state of emergency by...?
December 31
8%
October 31
2%
October 21
0%
$953.6K · 24h3 mkts
Sports⏱ 1mo
Worlds 2026: Winner
Team I
50%
Other
50%
Gen.G
44%
$777.5K · 24h20 mkts
Relevant movers · 24h
All movers →▲ Gainers 24h·click to open
▼ Losers 24h
Whale tape
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