France declares state of emergency by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a legally binding decree declaring a state of emergency (état d'urgence) in France enters into effect at any point between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree m…
As of 27 de octubre de 2026, "December 31" leads at 8% implied probability (-7.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $2.0M in total ($952.5K in the last 24h) with $190.0K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 de enero de 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
3 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.