Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
This market will resolve according to the asset which has the best performance in 2026 among Bitcoin, Gold, and the S&P 500 with performance measured as the percentage change in price during the year for each asset. The percentage change in price for Bitcoin will be calculated by comparing the "Close" price for the B…
As of 27 de octubre de 2026, "Bitcoin" leads at 17% implied probability. The biggest 24h move is "S&P 500", from 74% to 71%. The event has traded $966.0K in total ($1.3K in the last 24h) with $35.8K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 de enero de 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
3 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.