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California winter 2026-27 wetter or drier?

This market will resolve to "Drier" if California's statewide total precipitation for December 2026 through February 2027, according to NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI), is less than 11.99 inches. If the total is 11.99 inches or more, this market will resolve to "Wetter". 11.99 inches is NC…

As of 27 de octubre de 2026, "Wetter" leads at 69% implied probability. The event has traded $1.2K in total ($258 in the last 24h) with $276 of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 16 de marzo de 2027.

24h volume
$258
Total volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$276
Markets
1
16 mar 2027
WeatherclimateCaliforniaWeather & SciencePrecipitation

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketCalifornia winter 2026-27 wetter or drier?
Drier31.5¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$1.2K
live
Order bookDrier
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

California winter 2026-27 wetter or drier? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker