GPT Astra 6.1+: Text Arena Debut?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next OpenAI GPT Astra model (6.1+) added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this…
As of 27 de octubre de 2026, "1440+" leads at 59% implied probability (+17.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "1460+", from 28% to 38%. The event has traded $44.2K in total ($11.1K in the last 24h) with $8.5K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 de julio de 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
5 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.