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Sciencecloses in 5d

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 26 - November 1?

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between October 26, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, w…

As of 27 de octubre de 2026, "0" leads at 47% implied probability (+2.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $4.2K in total ($2.1K in the last 24h) with $7.5K of liquidity across 7 markets. Trading is due to close on 2 de noviembre de 2026.

24h volume
$2.1K
Total volume
$4.2K
Liquidity
$7.5K
Markets
7
2 nov 2026
WeatherclimateRecurringearthquakeEarthquakesNatural Disaster

Chart, demo trading & order book

Market0
Yes47.0¢
24h Chg+2.5pp
Mkt Vol$2.2K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

7 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.