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Economycloses in 2mo

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 202…

As of 27 de octubre de 2026, "0 (0 bps)" leads at 96% implied probability. The event has traded $54.9M in total ($66.6K in the last 24h) with $3.6M of liquidity across 13 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 de enero de 2027.

24h volume
$66.6K
Total volume
$54.9M
Liquidity
$3.6M
Markets
13
1 ene 2027
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 DeprecFed RatesEconomic PolicyFedBusinessEconomyFinanceKevin Warsh

Chart, demo trading & order book

Market0 (0 bps)
Yes96.0¢
24h Chg+0.0pp
Mkt Vol$9.1M
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

13 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker