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Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30?

This market will resolve according to the lowest daily mean gage height (river level), in feet, recorded at the Mississippi River at Baton Rouge, LA streamgage (USGS site 07374000) between market creation and November 30, 2026, as published by the United States Geological Survey (USGS) for parameter code 00065 under st…

As of 27 de octubre de 2026, "6.00 ft or more" leads at 25% implied probability (+1.4pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "5.00 to 5.99 ft", from 35% to 41%. The event has traded $44.0K in total ($709 in the last 24h) with $6.7K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 2 de diciembre de 2026.

24h volume
$709
Total volume
$44.0K
Liquidity
$6.7K
Markets
5
2 dic 2026
DroughtWeatherclimate

Chart, demo trading & order book

Market6.00 ft or more
Yes24.8¢
24h Chg+1.4pp
Mkt Vol$13.9K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

5 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker